The Pre-New Hampshire Primary Analysis
Well, with rumors of Clinton dropping out of the race and her poll numbers dropping like stones, the democratic primary tomorrow in New Hampshire should be a very interesting thing to behold. If the polls are to be believed, Obama is looking like he will pull out another win quite easily tomorrow with Clinton coming in a very distant second place. However, with the rumors of a drop out, some believe that this could help Edwards by shifting even more votes away from Clinton if she is to be viewed as a non-viable candidate. One thing is to be certain if nothing major happens within the next couple of hours and that is Obama will be first in tomorrow’s primary and Richardson will be fourth. I wouldn’t count Edwards out of another second place finish just yet.
On the Republican side, things are a lot closer with Romney and McCain battling it out in the polls. The latest Rasmussen poll shows McCain with only a one point lead over Romney which is well within the margin of error. It seems that there will be two separate plains of battle for the republican primary with one plain being the battle for who is first and a separate battle for who is third. This same poll showed that Huckabee, Giuliani, and Paul are all hovering around 10% support which means that it is going to be a close race tomorrow for third. If Giuliani is beaten by Paul again in this race, it is going to be difficult for him to continue to justify his image as a front runner for the candidacy. Huckabee needs to get at least third place in this race in order for him to prove that Iowa wasn’t just some big fluke.
Basically, for the democrats, I believe tomorrow is just going to put another notch in Obama’s belt and take more wind out of Hillary’s sails. For the republicans, I believe tomorrow is just going to further show how unified our party is in what we are looking for in a candidate by allowing McCain, who got fourth place in Iowa, to possibly get first place in New Hampshire.



